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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

16 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Place bets on 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge among available point-phase bets (~1.5%) and stay off on come-outs, minimizing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: don't pass (bar 12) carries the lowest house edge and lets me lay free odds once a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass on the 5 is +EV from this point (6/10 win chance), so I keep it and lay the maximum 18 in odds, which is exactly fair (zero house edge) and maximizes odds utilization. Every other available bet carries a negative house edge, so I add nothing else.

Model's stated reason

Point 5 with don't pass 5 plus maxed laid odds (18) already at the 4x ceiling; every available new bet has negative expected value, so the lowest-edge action is no change.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass 5 already carries maximum laid odds (18 is the largest multiple of 3 under the 4x/20 cap), a position that is +EV from here since a 7 is more likely than the point. Every available new bet has a house edge, so standing pat minimizes EV loss while odds utilization stays at 100%.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass on the 5 already carries the maximum whole-chip lay odds (18, the largest multiple of 3 within the 4x cap), which is a zero-house-edge position and +EV from this point. Adding any new bet would only add house edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass with 18 laid odds on the 5 is already near max and at optimal edge; no new negative-EV bets warranted.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with an empty table: I place the minimum 1-chip pass bet so that once a point is established I can back it with maximum free odds, which carry zero house edge and minimize expected loss per chip wagered.

Model's stated reason

With my pass line on point 6, I take the maximum 5x free odds (5 chips paying 6:5) — the only zero-house-edge bet on the table — so I add expected value-free action and full odds utilization while avoiding any negative-EV proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds on 6 are already maxed (5x). Adding a small come bet builds another flat point so future odds can be taken at full multiples, keeping expected loss minimal.

Model's stated reason

Odds behind my flat pass are already at the legal maximum (max_odds_stake is 0), and all one-roll/prop bets are negative EV, so the correct play is to stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 5x maximum on the 6, so no additional chips are needed; adding come/place bets would only add house edge.

Model's stated reason

Pass line 6 with max 5x odds is already optimal; adding more bets only increases house-edge exposure, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 5x cap on the 6; every other available bet carries a house edge, so no new bets is the lowest-EV-loss action.

Model's stated reason

Pass line with full max odds on 6 is already the lowest-edge position; adding more negative-EV bets only increases expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already maxed at 5x behind the point-6 flat bet, and every remaining bet type has negative EV, so the lowest-edge action is to add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 5x max on the 6; all other available bets carry a house edge, so the lowest-loss action is to add nothing.

Model's stated reason

Pass line with max-odds-eligible flat bet already has its 5x odds on the point of 6; adding more would only increase house edge exposure, so I hold with the existing position.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with pass odds already maxed; place 6 carries the lowest house edge of the available new bets.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with pass odds already maxed at 5x; adding negative-EV bets only increases expected loss, so I hold.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I stake the maximum 100 on it.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with a pass line bet: taking full 5x odds at true 6:5 is the zero-edge play and maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with two decision rolls left; pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and can take free odds next roll if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Final roll with a pass-line point of 8; taking the maximum 5x free odds (100) adds zero-edge expected value behind the flat bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +458 chips over 40 rolls

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