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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with a moderate stake to allow maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on 10; odds carry no house edge and improve odds utilization while the point is 10.

Model's stated reason

Add a dont_come flat bet to enable max odds on its point next roll, improving odds utilization and lowering average house edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge laid odds behind the existing don't come 10, which is already a favorable position; avoid any negative-EV new flat bets.

Model's stated reason

Add a low-house-edge don't come flat bet sized 33 so that if it establishes a point, maximum odds can be added within the 300-chip exposure cap, improving odds utilization and keeping expected loss per chip low.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 9; odds bets carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: all remaining exposure is tied up in existing don't-come bets, and every other available bet carries a house edge. The current don't-come bets on 9 and 10 are already working and have positive expectation against the point of 6, so I hold them rather than take them down.

Model's stated reason

Place the minimum don't pass to enable maximum odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass point 4 bet; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't-pass and laid odds on point 4; no new bets are placed because all currently available wagers carry negative expected value and would reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4 and my existing don't pass plus laid odds are already working; no new available bet improves expected value, so I avoid adding any negative-edge wagers.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every available wager has a negative house edge, while the existing don't pass and laid odds are already well positioned on point 4. Removing them would forfeit positive/zero-EV exposure, so I keep the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum on Don't Pass, the lowest house edge flat bet, to establish a point and later add zero-edge laid odds for better odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

No new bets; existing dont_pass has positive expectation with point 6, and all available new bets have negative house edge.

Model's stated reason

All available new bets have negative expected value; keeping the existing favorable dont_pass bet on point 6.

Model's stated reason

Place the lowest house edge flat bet available (don't come) to minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 6. These odds are zero-EV, improving odds utilization without increasing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

No new bets. The existing don't come 6 with odds is in a favorable position (positive EV for the flat bet, zero EV for odds). Adding any new flat bet would only add negative expected value, and no odds can be added due to the max odds limit already reached. Preserving the current exposure maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bet is available; existing don't come 6 is already in a favorable conditional position and its odds are zero-EV. Adding any new negative-EV wager would worsen expected loss per chip, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Place a minimum don't come bet to start a low-house-edge flat bet and enable future laid odds.

Model's stated reason

Bet minimum on don't pass to minimize house edge and allow maximum odds later; keep existing positive-EV don't come bet.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind my don't pass point 9; this is a zero-house-edge bet that improves odds utilization without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Place minimum don't pass to minimize house edge and allow maximum odds later.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on 10. Odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV action.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 10; the flat bet is favorable once the point is established and the odds are fair. No new bets are added because every currently available bet has negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

No new bet offers a lower house edge than the existing don't pass with laid odds; adding negative-EV flat or proposition bets would worsen ev_loss_per_chip without improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Betting the don't pass line with a small flat stake minimizes house edge and positions for maximum odds utilization once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Maximize odds on the existing don't pass bet to reduce house edge and increase odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Current dont_pass and laid odds on point 5 have positive/zero EV; no new bet offers better expected value, so I take no action to preserve the position.

Model's stated reason

Add seven don't come bets of 6 to build additional low-house-edge flat bets that can be backed with full laid odds next roll, maximizing odds utilization while staying within exposure limits.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 5 to boost odds utilization and dilute the house edge; no other available bets offer positive expectation.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't pass bet to set up a low-house-edge flat bet that can be backed with zero-edge laid odds if a point is established, improving odds utilization and reducing average expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add zero-house-edge laid odds behind the don't pass point 9 to maximize odds utilization without increasing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: every available bet has a negative house edge, while the existing don't pass/don't come flats are favorable at point 9 and the odds bets are zero-EV. Keeping the current position avoids adding expected loss and preserves the positive conditional value.

Model's stated reason

No new bets: existing don't pass and don't come flats are favorable with points 9 and 5, their odds are fair, and no additional odds capacity exists. Adding any available negative-EV bet would only reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative house edge, and no zero-edge odds can be placed without first taking a negative-EV flat bet. With only five decision rolls left, the optimal expected-value action is to make no new bets.

Model's stated reason

Bet 34 on Don't Pass to minimize house edge while enabling maximum odds later, balancing EV loss and odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add full free odds behind the existing don't pass point of 6; these odds have zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV action.

Model's stated reason

With only 2 rolls left and a fresh come-out, no bet offers positive expectation; the pass line and don't pass both carry house edge, so I stand pat to preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

This is the final decision roll (roll 40 of 40) with the point already established at 9. Any new bet placed now would be a one-roll proposition with a negative expectation, and there is no opportunity to recover value before the session ends. Placing no bets avoids unnecessary house edge exposure and preserves the current bankroll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +106 chips over 40 rolls

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