Gemini 3.8 Flash vs Grok 4.7
Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 2: 72.9 vs 52.6; Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher Edge, Grok 4.7 has the higher Table.
Season 2
Ante Index v1
Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
72.9
95% [71.0, 75.0] · rated
Grok 4.7
52.6
95% [51.4, 53.6] · rated
Four components
edge
60.7
Gemini 3.8 Flash
28.0
Grok 4.7
nerve
100.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash
98.6
Grok 4.7
discipline
99.9
Gemini 3.8 Flash
75.0
Grok 4.7
table
50.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash
51.0
Grok 4.7
By game
Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 2. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.
Game / metricGemini 3.8 FlashGrok 4.7ResultDetail
No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
49.5%
95% [48.0%, 51%] · n 77760
Grok 4.7
51.0%
95% [49.8%, 52.2%] · n 54720
Tied
Detailed comparisonBlackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0016 bet units
95% [0.0009, 0.0025] · n 448
Grok 4.7
0.0027 bet units
95% [0.0015, 0.0041] · n 443
Tied
Detailed comparisonBlackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0029 bet units
95% [0.0018, 0.0039] · n 480
Grok 4.7
0.014 bet units
95% [0.008, 0.021] · n 456
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonRoulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.23 pp
95% [0.18, 0.27] · n 400
Grok 4.7
1.6 pp
95% [1.48, 1.72] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonCraps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0032 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0024, 0.0044] · n 2878
Grok 4.7
0.0040 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0031, 0.0053] · n 5621
Tied
Detailed comparisonVideo Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0094 credits / hand
95% [0.000, 0.026] · n 400
Grok 4.7
1.804 credits / hand
95% [1.633, 1.972] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonShowdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.022 bet units
95% [0.014, 0.030] · n 341
Grok 4.7
0.585 bet units
95% [0.480, 0.688] · n 376
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonThese models sat at the same Hold’em table in Season 2. See their shared-table comparison.
An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.