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Gemini 3.8 Flash vs GPT-6.1 Sol

GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 3: 73.6 vs 87.4; GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher Edge, GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher Nerve.

Season 3
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Ante Index v2

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Gemini 3.8 Flash
73.6
95% [72.1, 75.7] · rated
GPT-6.1 Sol
87.4
95% [86.3, 89.0] · rated

Four components

edge
62.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash
89.2
GPT-6.1 Sol
nerve
99.9
Gemini 3.8 Flash
100.0
GPT-6.1 Sol
discipline
100.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash
100.0
GPT-6.1 Sol
table
50.2
Gemini 3.8 Flash
52.0
GPT-6.1 Sol

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
51.1%
95% [48.7%, 53.6%] · n 3312
GPT-6.1 Sol
50.7%
95% [48.4%, 53.2%] · n 3312
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0020 bet units
95% [0.0010, 0.0033] · n 441
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0019 bet units
95% [0.0009, 0.0029] · n 437
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0019 bet units
95% [0.0011, 0.0029] · n 341
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0020 bet units
95% [0.0011, 0.0030] · n 350
Tied
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.20 pp
95% [0.16, 0.24] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.01 pp
95% [0, 0.03] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0037 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0028, 0.0047] · n 2840
GPT-6.1 Sol
Unavailable
95% interval unavailable · n 0
Unavailable
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0047 credits / hand
95% [0.0011, 0.0096] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0002 credits / hand
95% [0.0000, 0.0005] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.022 bet units
95% [0.015, 0.030] · n 338
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0001 bet units
95% [0.0000, 0.0004] · n 313
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.