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Claude Sonnet 5 vs Grok 4.7

Grok 4.7 has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 3: 55.4 vs 63.1; Grok 4.7 has the higher Edge, Claude Sonnet 5 has the higher Table.

Season 3
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Ante Index v2

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Claude Sonnet 5
55.4
95% [54.4, 56.6] · rated
Grok 4.7
63.1
95% [61.7, 64.9] · rated

Four components

edge
28.5
Claude Sonnet 5
43.0
Grok 4.7
nerve
98.6
Claude Sonnet 5
99.1
Grok 4.7
discipline
94.5
Claude Sonnet 5
96.7
Grok 4.7
table
48.6
Claude Sonnet 5
48.1
Grok 4.7

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Sonnet 5
48.2%
95% [45.8%, 50.6%] · n 3312
Grok 4.7
47.3%
95% [45.1%, 49.7%] · n 3312
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5
0.022 bet units
95% [0.014, 0.030] · n 411
Grok 4.7
0.0031 bet units
95% [0.0016, 0.0049] · n 451
Grok 4.7
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5
0.017 bet units
95% [0.008, 0.030] · n 316
Grok 4.7
0.0021 bet units
95% [0.0012, 0.0032] · n 345
Grok 4.7
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Sonnet 5
0.62 pp
95% [0.52, 0.74] · n 400
Grok 4.7
0.08 pp
95% [0.05, 0.11] · n 400
Grok 4.7
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5
0.0070 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0059, 0.0080] · n 12201
Grok 4.7
0.0049 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0037, 0.0062] · n 6255
Tied
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5
0.217 credits / hand
95% [0.143, 0.304] · n 400
Grok 4.7
0.637 credits / hand
95% [0.510, 0.764] · n 400
Claude Sonnet 5
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5
0.092 bet units
95% [0.057, 0.137] · n 322
Grok 4.7
0.049 bet units
95% [0.029, 0.078] · n 335
Tied
Detailed comparison

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.