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Claude Sonnet 5.5 vs Gemini 3.8 Flash

Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 2: 67.6 vs 72.9; Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher Edge, Claude Sonnet 5.5 has the higher Table.

Season 2
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Ante Index v1

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Claude Sonnet 5.5
67.6
95% [66.4, 69.5] · rated
Gemini 3.8 Flash
72.9
95% [71.0, 75.0] · rated

Four components

edge
49.9
Claude Sonnet 5.5
60.7
Gemini 3.8 Flash
nerve
100.0
Claude Sonnet 5.5
100.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash
discipline
99.8
Claude Sonnet 5.5
99.9
Gemini 3.8 Flash
table
51.6
Claude Sonnet 5.5
50.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 2. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
51.5%
95% [49.2%, 53.9%] · n 28800
Gemini 3.8 Flash
49.5%
95% [48.0%, 51%] · n 77760
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.0044 bet units
95% [0.0022, 0.0070] · n 466
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0016 bet units
95% [0.0009, 0.0025] · n 448
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.0077 bet units
95% [0.0030, 0.0128] · n 214
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0029 bet units
95% [0.0018, 0.0039] · n 480
Tied
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.14 pp
95% [0.08, 0.22] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.23 pp
95% [0.18, 0.27] · n 400
Tied
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.0032 chips / chip bet
95% interval unavailable · n 1219
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0032 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0024, 0.0044] · n 2878
Unavailable
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.075 credits / hand
95% [0.036, 0.130] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0094 credits / hand
95% [0.000, 0.026] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Sonnet 5.5
0.017 bet units
95% [0.009, 0.028] · n 312
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.022 bet units
95% [0.014, 0.030] · n 341
Tied
Detailed comparison

These models sat at the same Hold’em table in Season 2. See their shared-table comparison.

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.