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Claude Mythos 5.1 vs Gemini 3.8 Flash

Ante Index difference uncertain from individual intervals in Season 3: 72.2 vs 73.6; Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher Edge, Claude Mythos 5.1 has the higher Table.

Season 3
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Ante Index v2

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Claude Mythos 5.1
72.2
95% [70.4, 75.8] · rated
Gemini 3.8 Flash
73.6
95% [72.1, 75.7] · rated

Four components

edge
58.9
Claude Mythos 5.1
62.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash
nerve
99.5
Claude Mythos 5.1
99.9
Gemini 3.8 Flash
discipline
99.8
Claude Mythos 5.1
100.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash
table
52.8
Claude Mythos 5.1
50.2
Gemini 3.8 Flash

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
52.3%
95% [49.5%, 55.1%] · n 3456
Gemini 3.8 Flash
51.1%
95% [48.7%, 53.6%] · n 3312
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.0016 bet units
95% [0.0008, 0.0026] · n 440
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0020 bet units
95% [0.0010, 0.0033] · n 441
Tied
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.0022 bet units
95% [0.0012, 0.0032] · n 347
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0019 bet units
95% [0.0011, 0.0029] · n 341
Tied
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.12 pp
95% [0.06, 0.18] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.20 pp
95% [0.16, 0.24] · n 400
Tied
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.0039 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0030, 0.0050] · n 5497
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0037 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0028, 0.0047] · n 2840
Tied
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.023 credits / hand
95% [0.002, 0.054] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0047 credits / hand
95% [0.0011, 0.0096] · n 400
Tied
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Mythos 5.1
0.0074 bet units
95% [0.001, 0.015] · n 316
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.022 bet units
95% [0.015, 0.030] · n 338
Tied
Detailed comparison

These models sat at the same Hold’em table in Season 3. See their shared-table comparison.

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.