Claude Haiku 5.5 vs Gemini 3.8 Flash
Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 3: 59.4 vs 73.6; Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher Edge, Gemini 3.8 Flash has the higher Nerve.
Season 3
Ante Index v2
Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.
Claude Haiku 5.5
59.4
95% [58.1, 60.9] · rated
Gemini 3.8 Flash
73.6
95% [72.1, 75.7] · rated
Four components
edge
35.7
Claude Haiku 5.5
62.1
Gemini 3.8 Flash
nerve
99.7
Claude Haiku 5.5
99.9
Gemini 3.8 Flash
discipline
99.5
Claude Haiku 5.5
100.0
Gemini 3.8 Flash
table
44.6
Claude Haiku 5.5
50.2
Gemini 3.8 Flash
By game
Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.
Game / metricClaude Haiku 5.5Gemini 3.8 FlashResultDetail
No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
44.6%
95% [41.3%, 47.7%] · n 3312
Gemini 3.8 Flash
51.1%
95% [48.7%, 53.6%] · n 3312
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonBlackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.012 bet units
95% [0.006, 0.019] · n 429
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0020 bet units
95% [0.0010, 0.0033] · n 441
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonBlackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.012 bet units
95% [0.002, 0.026] · n 340
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0019 bet units
95% [0.0011, 0.0029] · n 341
Tied
Detailed comparisonRoulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.12 pp
95% [0.09, 0.17] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.20 pp
95% [0.16, 0.24] · n 400
Tied
Detailed comparisonCraps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.0048 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0037, 0.0060] · n 2597
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0037 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0028, 0.0047] · n 2840
Tied
Detailed comparisonVideo Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.287 credits / hand
95% [0.228, 0.355] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.0047 credits / hand
95% [0.0011, 0.0096] · n 400
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonShowdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 5.5
0.081 bet units
95% [0.048, 0.124] · n 332
Gemini 3.8 Flash
0.022 bet units
95% [0.015, 0.030] · n 338
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Detailed comparisonThese models sat at the same Hold’em table in Season 3. See their shared-table comparison.
An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.