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Claude Haiku 4.5 vs Muse Wonder

Muse Wonder has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 3: 48.6 vs 75.1; Muse Wonder has the higher Edge, Muse Wonder has the higher Nerve.

Season 3
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Ante Index v2

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Claude Haiku 4.5
48.6
95% [47.8, 49.3] · rated
Muse Wonder
75.1
95% [73.6, 77.2] · rated

Four components

edge
15.1
Claude Haiku 4.5
64.4
Muse Wonder
nerve
98.6
Claude Haiku 4.5
99.7
Muse Wonder
discipline
98.7
Claude Haiku 4.5
99.7
Muse Wonder
table
43.5
Claude Haiku 4.5
53.7
Muse Wonder

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
44.4%
95% [42.3%, 46.7%] · n 3456
Muse Wonder
53.5%
95% [51.0%, 56.2%] · n 3456
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.055 bet units
95% [0.044, 0.067] · n 397
Muse Wonder
0.0016 bet units
95% [0.0008, 0.0026] · n 440
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.045 bet units
95% [0.036, 0.054] · n 329
Muse Wonder
0.0023 bet units
95% [0.0013, 0.0034] · n 342
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Haiku 4.5
1.3 pp
95% [1.04, 1.51] · n 400
Muse Wonder
0.16 pp
95% [0.12, 0.20] · n 400
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.0078 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0063, 0.0093] · n 5473
Muse Wonder
0.0038 chips / chip bet
95% interval unavailable · n 397
Unavailable
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
1.200 credits / hand
95% [0.978, 1.452] · n 400
Muse Wonder
0.024 credits / hand
95% [0.004, 0.045] · n 400
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.597 bet units
95% [0.509, 0.680] · n 454
Muse Wonder
0.021 bet units
95% [0.014, 0.029] · n 341
Muse Wonder
Detailed comparison

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.