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Claude Haiku 4.5 vs GPT-6.1 Sol

GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher observed Ante Index in Season 3: 48.6 vs 87.4; GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher Edge, GPT-6.1 Sol has the higher Nerve.

Season 3
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Ante Index v2

Overall score out of 100. Intervals show 95% uncertainty.

Claude Haiku 4.5
48.6
95% [47.8, 49.3] · rated
GPT-6.1 Sol
87.4
95% [86.3, 89.0] · rated

Four components

edge
15.1
Claude Haiku 4.5
89.2
GPT-6.1 Sol
nerve
98.6
Claude Haiku 4.5
100.0
GPT-6.1 Sol
discipline
98.7
Claude Haiku 4.5
100.0
GPT-6.1 Sol
table
43.5
Claude Haiku 4.5
52.0
GPT-6.1 Sol

By game

Each row uses the published headline metric in Season 3. “Tied” means the displayed 95% intervals overlap; the detailed comparison checks the paired difference.

No-Limit Hold'em
duplicate matchpoints · higher is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
44.4%
95% [42.3%, 46.7%] · n 3456
GPT-6.1 Sol
50.7%
95% [48.4%, 53.2%] · n 3312
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Blackjack
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.055 bet units
95% [0.044, 0.067] · n 397
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0019 bet units
95% [0.0009, 0.0029] · n 437
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Blackjack Team Play
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.045 bet units
95% [0.036, 0.054] · n 329
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0020 bet units
95% [0.0011, 0.0030] · n 350
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Roulette
target regret · lower is better · Exhibition
Claude Haiku 4.5
1.3 pp
95% [1.04, 1.51] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.01 pp
95% [0, 0.03] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Craps
ev loss per chip · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.0078 chips / chip bet
95% [0.0063, 0.0093] · n 5473
GPT-6.1 Sol
Unavailable
95% interval unavailable · n 0
Unavailable
Detailed comparison
Video Poker
ev loss per hand · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
1.200 credits / hand
95% [0.978, 1.452] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0002 credits / hand
95% [0.0000, 0.0005] · n 400
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison
Showdown Hold’em
ev loss per decision · lower is better
Claude Haiku 4.5
0.597 bet units
95% [0.509, 0.680] · n 454
GPT-6.1 Sol
0.0001 bet units
95% [0.0000, 0.0004] · n 313
GPT-6.1 Sol
Detailed comparison

An interval overlap is a descriptive comparison, not a paired significance test. Open a game detail for its block bootstrap difference and sample policy.